souly’s coding-for-trading solutions
In this article, I study long term cycles and cyclic behavior of the US stock market. The aim of the study is identification of dominant and practically useful cycles. In particular, I’m interested in cyclic behavior that is projected to appear in the next 6-12 months. […]
Last year I already wrote about the Commitment of Traders (COT) reports and how they can be applied to improve trading results. I showed that for the S&P500 the Large traders are the ones to watch – because in this market they have the tendency to jump on the train right at the very end of a trend. […]
Beside the various timing indicators presented on this page, I particularly have an eye on instruments describing the sentiment in the markets. One free and good source for sentiment data is the weekly Commitments of Traders report issued by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. For several future markets it enumerates the positions of market participants grouped in Small, Large, and Commercial traders. Frequently, two general approaches are proposed how to use the data: 1. look at the posit […]
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